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UAF Forecasts Northern Lights Viewing

by Mary Jo Manzanares on November 9th, 2006

Forecasting Aurora Borealis viewingIf you’ll be traveling in Alaska here is one site that you need to bookmark and come back to often, the University of Alaska at Fairbank’s Geophysical Institute.

There’s a bunch of stuff there that I don’t understand, but the really important information for travelers is that the site tries to forecast the aurora borealis. 

The Northern Lights are unpredictable, at best, and I’ve only seen them a handful of times, but now the UAF tries to map out a 28-day forecast.  Just like you check the weather forecast, now you can check the aurora borealis forecast.

The downside to the forecasting, however, is that although the lights may be dancing all over the sky, a cloud layer, or some other weather problem, can still inhibit the viewing.

Still, I think this is very cool.

Via Gadling

POSTED IN: Things to See & Do

3 opinions for UAF Forecasts Northern Lights Viewing

  • Astroprof
    Nov 9, 2006 at 10:19 am

    Predicting aurorae is really tough. Fairly accurate predictions can only be made hours in advance. Some general probabilities for aurorae can often be made days in advance, and recently those forecasts have gotten much better. But what UAF is doing is a major advance in being able to predict that conditions may exist leading to a greater than average chance of auroral activity or weeks ahead, based on projected solar activity (which we are only just a handle on predicting, too). It is still pretty crude in terms of forecasting, but it is a MAJOR advancement over only a few years ago.

  • Mary Jo Manzanares
    Nov 9, 2006 at 2:20 pm

    It’s not a perfect predictor, but then what is? I’m amazed what a major advancement this is, too, and wonder where we’ll be another few years from now.

  • Astroprof’s Page » The Aurora (Part 1: Observing)
    Nov 10, 2006 at 7:22 pm

    […] Mary Jo recently posted about auroral forecasts. That got me to thinking that I’d say a bit about aurorae, too. (The plural is either auroras or aurorae. Both seem to be acceptable, but I like aurorae, which is the Latin form.) The aurorae are generally seen near the Earth’s magnetic poles, so they are often very far north or very far south. When in the north, we call them the Aurora Borealis, and when in the south the Aurora Australis. […]

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